Financial Guide

Trading in a rising interest rate environment

Although the impact of rising interest rates varies by business, it’s usually preferable for most small businesses to have low interest rates. It’s cheaper to borrow money to grow, or at least with stable interest rates, you can plan for and repay whatever loan you committed to.

Cracks can appear however, when interest rates climb faster than anyone predicts. For example, if business owners find their loan repayment interest rate doubling in a few months, it will be problematic if they have tight margins. This is especially true when people have been happy to borrow, thinking the record low borrowing and cash rates would hang around forever (or at least a few more years). On-going rising interest rates reverses this trend and can cause financial stress, where businesses have borrowed large sums of money in the expectation interest rates would remain the same for a little longer.

Here are a few issues with rising interest rates for small businesses.

Customers spend less

Probably the broadest impact from rising interest rates is that mortgage rates and business loans goes up. Your customers will be allocating more of their weekly wage to repaying interest, with the consequence of less disposable income to spend. If you are in an industry that is deemed discretionary by the consumer, you could be the first expense to face the chop.

Other implications include:

Harder to access credit

While higher business loan rates make long-term debt more expensive, short-term debt can also be harder to obtain. Lenders that require physical assets to secure finance will most likely want tighter requirements, such as more equity or personal guarantees. This increases the risk to you as the borrower.

Your costs go up

It’s most likely other costs to your business will also start to rise. For example:

This inflationary pressure drives up the cost of the whole supply chain (manufacturing, distribution, services), which trickles higher expenses into your business.

The ultimate conclusion? You don’t want your suppliers to go bust, so you’ll probably need to accept their cost increases, which eventually forces you to increase prices to your customers, causing a possible drop in demand.

Predicting future costs is difficult

When interest rates are changing, you may struggle to know the cost of future borrowing, or the cost of existing business loan rates. This can make it hard to plan your future finances, and when to invest in new equipment or business growth.

Solutions to rising interest rates

Next steps

Rate the risk your business faces with rising interest rates (low, medium, high) and then take positive action to reduce the chance this current trend will have on you personally, and your business. Immediate steps can be to:

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